The Future Probably Isn't What You Think It Is

A book about how people picture the future kicks off this one: close your eyes and imagine what's ahead, and it turns out most people picture something quiet and grounded, not the flying cars or dystopia a futurist might expect. From there the show moves into two dramatic single-stock stories, SpaceX down 40% from its highs (called on this show months in advance) and IBM's one-day $70 billion market cap wipeout following a 54% run-up in a matter of weeks that had nothing to do with earnings. That leads into the leveraged ETF boom, from $30 billion in total assets in 2020 to $200 billion today, with single-stock leveraged ETFs alone growing from zero to $30 billion, plus a walkthrough of an autocallable barrier and high income ETF built on a basket of large tech names, and why a 40% barrier paired with a 30% coupon looks safer than it is.

The back half turns to personal finance. The actual math behind mortgage costs, origination fees, broker markups, and third-party charges, adds up to roughly $19,000 out of pocket on a $500,000 loan, and a newer, disintermediated lending model is quoting 50 to 100 basis points below competitive market rates. Then a debate over who really wins the AI buildout, consumers or the companies spending billions to build it, tied to a case for Apple and Siri as the dark horse of how people actually end up interacting with AI. It closes on Tesla: 480,000 vehicles delivered in Q2, well above analyst estimates, a stat on why Teslas rank as both the safest car by crash test and among the most fatal on the road per mile driven, and the ongoing discourse over carsick Tesla Uber rides.

Sources:
FT Vest Autocallable Barrier & High Income ETF (ACYQ), fund summary, First Trust Portfolios
Tesla, Inc., Q2 2026 production and delivery report
Nick Foster, "Could, Should, Might, Don't" (the book anchoring the episode's opening exercise)

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Credits:

Created By: Wheeler Crowley and Colin Walker
Production, Editing and Post-Production: Tori Rothwell

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